* Note: Some of the information in the article below is outdated and we clarify the fact that Mirza Shahzad Akbar is no longer working with Farooq Law Associates. He also refutes the claims made by the author in this article who has called him a Taliban supporter. Akbar considers this a very serious allegation and has contradicted the author's words by stating firmly that he considers the Taliban criminals. Dawn.com regrets the errors.

In his book ‘Inside Al Qaeda and the Taliban’, slain journalist Syed Saleem Shehzad who spent considerable part of his research with al Qaeda militants, described comprehensively the formation of the new al Qaeda players and their strategic objectives in the lawless FATA region of Pakistan after the crippling defeat of the Taliban and al Qaeda in 2001.

He magnificently illustrates this al Qaeda strategy in well-crafted 3 points:

  • The re-grouping of its militant structure and development of a battle strategy against the Pakistan Army and Nato Forces in Afghanistan
  • Conduct peace deals with the Pakistan Army and used the breathing space to strengthen its struggle against the United States
  • Extending the war into Pakistan, and from there strategising and launching the war from central Asian Republics to India for the sole purpose of defeating the Nato forces in Afghanistan.
In order to achieve this strategy, al Qaeda annihilated the centuries-old Pakistani tribal structure and traditions by killing thousands of tribal elders as well as clerics and launched a new generation of militants. However during this time Al Qaeda’s objectives were constantly under assault because mostly whenever a new leader was nominated and trained, he was eradicated by the formidable drone. This notorious drone is known to have successfully struck down not only the key al Qaeda and Taliban operatives but also fugitives responsible for hijacking of Pan American World Airways Flight 73 and 1998 United States Embassy Bombings.

According to The Bureau of Investigative Journalism, since the outset, there have been a total of 349 drone strikes in Pakistan to date, killing approximately 3300 people of which 500-800 are estimated to be civilians and this estimation has also been credited by the Stanford/NYU Clinics in ‘Living Under Drones’, a recent report heavily critical of the drones which was commissioned by London-based charity Reprieve that represents Guantanamo Bay prisoners .

In the following article I will critically analyze:

  • This report and in doing so uncover the lecturer at Islamic International University Islamabad (IIU) who has played a crucial role towards its findings.
  • The criticisms of drone strikes and its effectiveness in diminishing terrorist activities in Pakistan.
‘Living Under Drones’, the report prepared by researchers from Stanford and New York University law schools created mass hysteria in Pakistan after it revealed that drones terrorise civilians and are counter-productive. The print and electronic media along with cacophonic talk shows exploited this further to fuel the already mounting anti-Americanism and became an important tool in precipitating the hype surrounding the “Peace March” against drones organised by Imran Khan. However the report has various fundamental flaws which have been largely overlooked and which can raise grave concerns regarding its credibility.

Firstly this report cannot be considered impartial as claimed by Stanford/ NYU since their researchers were unable to directly access FATA to meet the affected victims due to the heavily guarded checkpoints established for security. Instead, they substantially relied on an Islamabad based Foundation for Fundamental Rights (FFR) for arranging interviews with drone strike victims. This created a conflict of interest between the FFR and the researchers, since FFR is a known legal advocate for drone victims in Pakistan. It would only be logical to presume that they would be inclined against the drones and would present evidence only to support their perspective and not of those residents who are in favor of it.


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Comments (91)

Iftikhar Ahmed
October 18, 2012 5:32 am
drones fly, children die.. not al qaeda!
TaimurChaudhry
October 18, 2012 5:14 am
Great analysis.
Junaid Hafeez
October 18, 2012 4:58 am
I really appreciate the dispassionate approach with which the writer/research has come up with the justification of drone attacks. To counter the extremist ideology, we need a counter-ideology, that's true. I wish such pieces should get published in Urdu newspapers as well so that the masses might be able to come out of bigotry. Though not a fan of Imran Khan, I somehow believed in the fallacious theory that drones accelerate suicide attacks/acts of violence, but, the whole thing changed after studying the graphs. Do not know when the people of Pakistan would start looking at empirical evidences and researches, and stop sticking to the hopeless empty opiated rhetoric of religion. Keep it up, Mr Anas Abbas! Looking forward for more!
asim
October 18, 2012 4:49 am
In other word, People of Pakistan should learnto see through eyes of America and follow their policy otherwise drone will continue. Forget about soveriegnity,freedom that is only for people living in USA.
warraich
October 18, 2012 4:16 am
at-least get your figures right about the collateral damage caused by drones.
Muhammad Omer
October 17, 2012 9:34 pm
So shameful for our country that its own journalists support foreign countries in sending their drones, agents here to kill our own people. Nowhere else in the whole world will you find anyone who so proudly allows foreign superpowers to come into his country and kill people be they innocent or criminals.
Muhammad Omer
October 17, 2012 9:30 pm
people that ambassadors speak to are the elite. Their interests are elsewhere. They would never dare oppose American Policy, Instead they always bend in front of any superpower.
Wasif
October 17, 2012 9:13 pm
Come on with current American political issues this is not an American war anymore, once the drone leaves these barbarians would be left alone for the Pakistan alone to deal with. Drones are very viable and realistic solution.
Ali
October 17, 2012 9:09 pm
Wonderful realistic article.
Ignorantme
October 17, 2012 7:47 pm
A great article with nice arguments. I know most pakistanis would not agree with you but it is a bitter truth that more people died in the hands of terrorists that drones. Death is death no matter who caused it but I am sure most pakistani's prefer a death by their own brothers than the foreign drones. Unless you open up your eyes and see what the islamists are fighting for you could never suppress them.
ballofwire
October 17, 2012 7:45 pm
I hope that you don't ever lose a loved one to 'collateral damage' - but i'm afraid that would be the only way you could possibly realize what a piece of rubbish you've written here. Collateral damage through any means - drones or kitchen knives - is wrong.
Ali Abbas
October 17, 2012 7:05 pm
We can all huff and puff over who is right and who is wrong all we want and use numbers to prove our point. The fact is that if Pakistanis cleans their house then no one else will have to come and do it for us. Pakistani nation is the most paranoid and self destructive nation in the world. The fact that Pakistan is on the verge of disaster is not because of US, India or Israel, its because we keep finding excuses for teorrists and refuse to kick them out of our country.
Yousaf Rahman
October 17, 2012 5:39 pm
So 15-25% collateral damage is to be tolerated? As a Pakistani you should be ashamed of yourself if you think so. Would the American public tolerate 25% civilian deaths if it were their own people being killed? Of course not. Then why must we? Is an American life more valuable than a Pakistani life?
Numbersnumbers
October 17, 2012 4:45 pm
Don't stop there! Please give us a list of these "lies" you speak of so we can judge for ourselves!
Numbersnumbers
October 17, 2012 4:34 pm
And why don't YOU move your family to the Paradise that is TTP controlled territory so you can enjoy all the freedoms they offer and the good schools for your daughters!
Numbersnumbers
October 17, 2012 4:31 pm
Question 1) Over the last ten years, how many civilians have been killed by drone strikes and how many militants have been killed in those same strikes? Question 2) Over the last ten years, how many civilians have been killed by TTP/ terrorist attacks in Pakistan over the last ten years, and how many TTP/terrorists were killed in those same attacks? I believe that most people will agree that the Drone campaign targets the terrorists/militants, while the TTP campaign overwhelmingly target civilians!
Numbersnumbers
October 17, 2012 4:17 pm
I assume that those supporting the TTP would not object to their own children being obliterated in bomb attacks or assassinated in target killings! (Like trying to kill Malala)! ... Perhaps they will put their own kids on busses in Swat so the TTP can test their guns on unarmed children!
Hasan Syed
October 17, 2012 3:29 pm
When you have a cancer like disease, you need surgery, if local doctor’s aren’t capable of curing the patient you go abroad. I totally appreciate the drone strike on to these uneducated senseless individuals who are causing more harm to the country than any thing else in the history of its inception
gul bacha afridi
October 17, 2012 2:43 pm
U definitely deserve a victoria cross or a legion of merit. keep it up. well done.
abbastoronto
October 17, 2012 1:35 pm
Dr. Munter and his wife Dr. Wyatt were the most Pakistan-friendly US Diplomats to date. They made themselves widely accessible to Pakistani people. Pakistan is not Iraq or Afghanistan.
Sceptic
October 17, 2012 1:09 pm
This is called selective analysis, done at the behest of others. Presenting manufactured graphs and charts does not make it right or justified. The bias and quisling attitude is obvious.
Ahmed
October 17, 2012 10:43 am
Mr. Munter should be asked how many times he stepped out of the embassy to meet common people! Wasnt he scared?
Ahmed
October 17, 2012 10:30 am
Why dont you move with your family to places where drone strikes are common cuz this might change your thinking
arslank
October 17, 2012 9:23 am
This is the most ridiculous piece i have ever read where you are trying your best to defend something which is inhumane..Whats wrong with people these days?Why cant we see both Drones and TTP as something evil as both are killing innocent people..Why do we have to choose sides of one evil? Those who defend drone strikes are as much pathetic as those who defend TTP.
areluctantpakistani
October 17, 2012 9:21 am
Give peace a chance? Yeah, like the Taliban did when they were not being subjected to drone attacks. You have no idea what you are dealing with, do you?
Arif
October 17, 2012 8:42 am
Absolutely agree, terrorism today is due to America's policy of protecting its interests and controlling the world's resources.
ghaleezguftar
October 17, 2012 8:32 am
While you proclaim to be a journalist and present facts and not opinions, it was shameless of you quote references which are equally unreliable against the ones you refuted. There are no facts in this drone campaign as it is secret. People who you say are announced as dead due to the surgical strike is not confirmed by any source even the drone operators. Also, a simple person without earning a degree in psychology can tell that anyone who is attacked without any reason and loses something or someone, gets angry and being angry is a volatile condition. You say, "Pakistan, being a vital non-Nato ally, must treat all Taliban as one, while allowing these strikes unabated, and stop decrying sovereignty issues because sovereignty, if Pakistan still has one, is foremost being violated by Taliban and Al Qaeda." Have you ever heard the words: foreign oppression, rebels, freedom fighters, traitors? Seems like you have a very deep love for our own people(your argument when someone would say that their is a foreign hand behind this)! Dont just jump onto the bandwagon just to get published!
Kayenn
October 17, 2012 8:07 am
Drone attacks are approved by Pakistan Establihment - Military or Elected, against the payment of billions of dollars in economic and military aid......You could have not taken the threat by US asst secretary of state to bomb pakistan into stone age.... seriously and carried out your independent policy - you had the option !!!!
Mehran
October 17, 2012 7:39 am
U are great advocate of American Foreign policy in Pakistan. BUT We are still against Drones, THEY SHOULD BE STOPPED.
Usman
October 17, 2012 7:31 am
Well observed Umair!
Umar Suleman
October 17, 2012 7:11 am
As you rightly say, "this should not be seen in isolation". The favourable statistics you show relates drones with terrorists attacks inversely proportional, also need not to be seen in isolation. There was a 'small' army operation and lots of other actions taken by pakistani government and establishment, if you also show its timeline than another totally different conclusion may come up. Please try, and not see such stats in isolation to 'prove' your point. A point that is predictable from you since a long time. Btw, the data for these graph comes from which of your cited sources? Regards
Omair
October 17, 2012 7:08 am
Why doesn't the ISAF and Afghan Army sealing the border? Who stops them? You should know the geography of the region to know if it can be sealed. Durand line is very porous and cannot be sealed
KS
October 17, 2012 6:56 am
One simple Question ? How you get these precise numbers for drone strikes.. So you go on ground after drone attack and count 1,2,3 ... really? and how you differentiate between civilians and terrorists ? do terrorists wear some bar code ??
kausik
October 17, 2012 6:53 am
The relationship between USA and Pakistan is a long it started being allies in seato treaty during cold war with Pakistan giving airbases to USA and with USSR entering Afghanistan created Taliban and Al quida mujaheddin and till Iraq under sadam attacked Kuwait USA was a friend of Taliban and obl.when USA with Saudi allies attacked sadam by putting boots on ground obl hated it and declared USA as enemy due to his twisted sense of outrage decided to attack of 9/11 causing present drone attacks on terrorists.now that obl gone USA also provides significant economic aid and milatary hardware to pakistan. .
Sumit
October 17, 2012 6:46 am
So instead you should sit quietly and let the bigger wrong destroy the nation!
kausik
October 17, 2012 6:00 am
This excellent well researched article by mr Anas abbas should be a eye opener to all pakistani's of misplaced blame on drone casualties vs innocent civilian causalities in populous urban areas by suicide bombers and TTP terrorists and I compliment Dawn on publishing this excellent article showing actual casuality figures of civilians however it has nothing do with attack on innocent school going malala nothing justifies this premeditated caliculated attack to kill a single defenseless girl by her fellow citizens.unless a miraculous peacefull co existance is practiced by Al quida and TTP towards USA these drone attacks do not end till USA completely and voluntarily withdraws from region as promised by Obama and Romney in 2014 as they achieved objective of eliminating obl.
Naved
October 17, 2012 5:53 am
I really appreciate the writer for presenting a comparative study of drone vs suicide and bomb blast killings. This data should be eye an opener for the people suffering from drone fobia and are not able see other problems bigger than that. Drone will stop attacking FATA, if tribal people forced the terrorists out of this area or terrorists move out from there on their own. If the reasonable population of FATA will act as a host & supporter of these terrorists and facilitate them, then surely along with these terrorists they will also be killed in drone attacks. There is no doubt there are certain drone attacks carried out on wrong intelligence or miss their targets and cause innocent casualities, but most of such attacks are quite effective in getting rid of cruel, anti-Pakistan & anti-Islam taliban. I fail to understand what America will get by doing indiscriminate killing in the FATA. America should hand over this technology to Pakistan army and they should further intensify drone attacks to wipe out mindless taliban.
waqarlearner
October 17, 2012 4:40 am
Someone should present these facts on electronics media also to convey the reality to the masses
mahesh
October 17, 2012 4:34 am
good analysis. some people don't want to see the truth or incapable of doing so.
Umair
October 17, 2012 4:22 am
Mr. Anas.. You are a great advocate of American Foreign policy in Pakistan. You have tried to tell us that no matter how illegal drone strikes are according to international norms but if the Americans want it.. you are going to dig out reasons for supporting it. America needs people like you everywhere to justify killings in Afghanistan, Iraq, Yemen, Pakistan.!
Jaseem Pasha
October 17, 2012 3:56 am
CONCLUSION: Drones kill more Pakistani civilians than the lower number of Taliban casualties; Taliban kill many times more Pakistani civilians than drones do every year. Recommendation: If military + Government resolve to declare Taliban as Pakistani civilians' enemy #1 and eliminate them, the drones will disappear too. The question is: would military and the government agree. Answer is "NO", majority of people are brave, but not as brave as Malala. It is much easy to condemn the West within the comfort of Pakistani borders than demanding elimination of home-grown highly lucrative industry of terrors.
malik
October 17, 2012 3:56 am
Drones may not be perfect but this is the best aresenal for dealing with terrorists. If only drones were used when TTP broke that jail in Bannu and yesterday when they attacked a Police checkpost and chopped the head of the SP.
Guest
October 17, 2012 3:19 am
What a disgusting article! It's full of lies.
Mutee
October 17, 2012 12:46 am
Congratulations on such a well written and well researched piece. However, I couldn't help but notice your omission to report the deaths of more than 176 children that were also part of the stats. Oh wait, that will introduce humanity in this article and that is certainly not the agenda. Also, drone missiles, or Scorpions as they are lovingly known in some circles, striking on rescue operations and targeting funeral prayers are missing in the data provided. But that is because this is impartial analysis, these things don't matter, as long as there are reduced number of casualties in 5 big cities, its ok to kill anyone in Waziristan.
mahavir
October 17, 2012 12:30 am
How many Malalas were saved by drones by killing Talibans?
Aamir Amjad
October 16, 2012 11:51 pm
So we should be afraid of the backlash and let the nation live under terror for the next 50 years? Lets finish these hardcore terrorists once and for all with a full fledged operation and then follow with a political plan to bring into line their less harmful affiliates.
Aamir Amjad
October 16, 2012 11:46 pm
Because the army does not allow anyone to go there so that every thing remains unclear and can be manupulated
Marghoob Ahmed Siddiqui
October 16, 2012 10:55 pm
While no one will support Drone attacks, it is true Malala was the victim of one so called Muslim.
sattar rind
October 16, 2012 10:48 pm
its very nice article with evidence.
dr aq khan
October 16, 2012 10:00 pm
Excellent article based on facts. Well done sir, Pakistan needs analysts like you.